Transaction Demand Falls by 90% as Holders Eye Bottom

XRP price has started to stabilize, but its onchain activity has collapsed to levels not seen since before 2025. Network fee volume, a direct proxy for transaction demand, has dropped by 91.5% from its February peak.

According to Glassnode data, the 90-day simple moving average of total fees paid on the XRP network has cratered from 5,900 XRP in February to just 500 XRP today. Simultaneously, XRP’s 90-day realized profit-to-loss ratio has fallen to 0.38, down from a peak of 50 when XRP traded at $3.40 January last year.

That ratio means participants are now realizing $1 in losses for every $0.38 in profits, a signature of capitulation selling. Data also shows that large-wallet transfers of 1 million XRP or more to Binance have declined since the 2025 peak, a display that major holders are not yet aggressively distributing.

Price action is compressing into a narrow decision zone, and the technical structure reflects the same tension between exhausted sellers and hesitant buyers.

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Can XRP Price Reclaim $1.50 or Is a Drop to $1.09 Next?

XRP is currently consolidating below the 100-hour simple moving average, with price action grinding between $1.10 and $1.15 after a recent failed attempt to hold above $1.30, but so has the whole crypto market.

Immediate support sits at $1.05–$1.10, with a secondary demand pocket at $1. Resistance is layered at $1.20–$1.25, then $1.30–$1.40. A clean reclaim of $1.50 would shift short-term momentum and open a path toward the mid-$1.60s. Bearish momentum is still present, but the declining exchange inflows from large holders suggest distribution pressure is easing.

If support at $1.10 holds as volume picks up, price could recover toward $1.20 in the near term, and eventually $1.30. XRP could also consolidate between $1.10 and $1.15 for the next several sessions, absorbing sell pressure before any directional break.

But, in a bad scenario, a close below $1.10 opens the $1 target, and the $1.00–$0.65 band is identified as the macro support zone if this correction extends.

The profit-to-loss ratio at 0.38 does historically precede XRP price recoveries, but timing a bottom in a 91.5% fee-contraction environment is not for the faint-hearted.

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LiquidChain Targets Early-Mover Upside as XRP Struggles To Maintain Key Levels

XRP’s compressed activity data tells a familiar mid-cycle story: the speculation phase is over, the infrastructure phase is beginning. The rotation, away from price-momentum plays toward fundamental utility, is exactly the gap that early-stage infrastructure projects are moving to fill.

LiquidChain is a Layer 3 infrastructure project positioning itself as the cross-chain liquidity layer fusing Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana liquidity into a single execution environment.